Oscar Predictions

Will Canada score a nom (or a win) with Mommy?
Hooray for Oscars! They're the most entertaining--and convenient--way to chat about the films we love. Predictions are therefore primarily for purposes of amusement and discussion. The listed predictions are purely from a fan's perspective and do not reflect the personal choices of the author, although some element of seepage is inevitable when one says that a contender has what it takes to go all the way. Coverage of the Canadian Screen Awards may be found here.


★2014 Oscar race
Round 1: Let's Get this Party Started!
Round 2: Could Award Season Revive These Contenders?
Round 3: Christmas Comes Early?
Round 4: Golden Globe and SAG Edition

As of Dec. 18, 2014 following Golden Globe, SAG, and BFCA noms. (No formal write-up)

*New or moved

Best Picture:


Foxcatcher

Almost put: Into the Woods
What about: Interstellar, A Most Violent Year*, Mr. Turner, Still AliceUnbroken*

Best Director

Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel*
Ava DuVernay, Selma
David Fincher, Gone Girl
Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Birdman
Richard Linklater, Boyhood

Almost put: Morten TyldumThe Imitation Game*
What about: Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel; Angelina JolieUnbroken*, Mike Leigh, Mr. Turner; James Marsh, The Theory of Everything; Rob Marshall, Into the Woods; Bennett Miller, Foxcatcher; Jean-Marc Vallée, Wild.

Best Actor

Steve Carrell, Foxcatcher
Benedict Cumberbatch,  The Imitation Game
Michael Keaton, Birdman
David Oyelowo, Selma
Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything

Almost put: Ben Affleck, Gone Girl
What about:  Ralph Fiennes The Grand Budapest Hotel; Oscar Isaac, A Most Violent Year;  Joaquin Phoenix, Inherent Vice; Timothy Spall, Mr. Turner; Channing Tatum, Foxcatcher.

Best Actress

Marion Cotillard, Two Days, One Night*
Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything
Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl
Reese Witherspoon, Wild

Almost put: Emily Blunt, Into the Woods
What about: Jennifer Aniston, Cake*; Amy Adams, Big Eyes; Marion Cotillard, The Immigrant;  Anne Dorval, Mommy, Hilary Swank, The Homesman

Best Supporting Actor:

Ethan Hawke, Boyhood
Edward Norton, Birdman
Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
J.K. Simmons, Whiplash
Channing Tatum, Foxcatcher

Almost Put:  Robert Duvall, The Judge*
What about: Josh Brolin, Inherent Vice; Benicio Del Toro, Inherent Vice
 

Best Supporting Actress

Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year
Laura Dern, Wild
Keira Knightley,  The Imitation Game
Meryl Streep, Into the Woods

Almost put:  Naomi Watts, Birdman*
What about: Carrie Coon, Gone Girl; Anna Kendrick, Into the Woods, Emma Stone, Birdman, Tilda Swinton,  Snowpiercer, Naomi Watts, St. Vincent, Kristen Stewart, Still Alice

Best Original Screenplay

Birdman – Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Armando Bo
Boyhood – Richard Linklater
The Grand Budapest Hotel– Wes Anderson
Mr. Turner – Mike Leigh
Whiplash – Damien Chazelle*

Almost put: Foxcatcher – E. Max Frye, Dan Futterman*
What about: Chef - Jon Favreau; A Most Violent Year, J.C. Chandor

Best Adapted Screenplay

Gone Girl - Gillian Flynn
The Imitation Game – Graham Moore
Selma - Paul Webb
The Theory of Everything – Anthony McCarten
Wild – Nick Hornby

Almost put: Inherent Vice – Paul Thomas Anderson
What about: Into the Woods – James Lapine; A Most Wanted Man - Andrew Bovell;  Still Alice - Richard Glatzer, Wash Westmoreland; Unbroken – Joel Coen, Ethan Coen, Richard Lagravenese, William Nicholson

Best Film Editing:


Almost put: Unbroken
What about: Foxcatcher, The Grand Budapest Hotel, The Imitation Game, Interstellar*,Into the Woods, Selma*, 

Best Cinematography:

Interstellar
Mr. Turner

Almost put: Wild

Best Costumes:

The Imitation Game
Into the Woods 
Mr. Turner

What about: Belle, Big Eyes, Exodus, The Homesman Inherent Vice, Magic in the Moonlight, Selma

Best Production Design:

Interstellar
Into the Woods
Mr. Turner          

Almost put:  Snowpiercer
What about: Big Eyes, The Hobbit 3,The Imitation Game, Inherent Vice

Best Score:

Gone Girl– Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross
The Grand Budapest Hotel– Alexandre Desplat
The Imitation Game  – Alexandre Desplat
Interstellar – Hans Zimmer and the church organ
The Theory of Everything - Johann Johannsson*

What about: The Homesman, The Judge, The Lego Movie, Noah, Unbroken, Under the Skin

Sound Mixing:

Into the Woods

What about: Birdman Edge of Tomorrow, Fury, Get on Up, The Hobbit 3Snowpiercer

Sound Editing:

Fury
Transformers 4
Unbroken

What about: Edge of Tomorrow, The Lego MovieSnowpiercer

Visual Effects:

Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Guardians of the Galaxy

Also shortlisted: Captain America: Winter Soldier, The Hobbit, Night at the Museum...,  Snowpiercer, Transformers 4, X-Men: Days of Future Past

Best Make-up

Guardians of the Galaxy*

Also shortlisted: The Amazing Spider-Man 2*, Foxcatcher, The Grand Budapest Hotel, Noah*

Best Song:

"The Boxtrolls Song", The Boxtrolls*
"Mercy Is," Noah*
"Glory", Selma*

What about: "Miracles", Unbroken; What is Love?,” Rio 2
Eligible songs: Full list

Best Documentary Feature:

The Overnighters
Tales of the Grim Sleeper

Best Foreign Language Film:

Force Majeure – Sweden
Ida - Poland
Leviathan - Russia
Mommy – Canada
Wild Tails – Argentina

Almost put: Two Days, One Night - Belgium
Also reviewed: Living is Easy with Eyes Closed (Spain), Rocks in My Pockets (Latvia), The Way He Looks (Brazil), What Now? Remind Me (Portugal)
List of submitted films on Wikipedia.
*Please see The Film Experience for the best and most comprehensive coverage on this category.

Best Animated Film:

Big Hero 6
Book of Life
How to Train Your Dragon 2


Best Animated Short:

The Bigger Picture*
Coda*
Feast
Footprints*
Me and My Moulton*
Also shortlisted:  Duet*, The Numberlys*, A Single Life*, Symphony No. 42 (seen it, no review)*.

Best Live Action Short:


Short Documentary Short:


Shortlist:

Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1
Joanna
Kehinde Wiley: An Economy of Grace

The Lion’s Mouth Opens
One Child
Our Curse

The Reaper (La Parka)
White Earth


★ 2013 Oscar Race

Mar. 3: Oscars Recap: 'And the Best Film Wins!'
Feb. 28: Final Round: Might as Well Pick Names from a Hat!
Jan. 15:  Round 5: Final Nominations Predictions -- Time for a 'Hail Meryl'?
Jan. 14: Best Adapted Screenplay: No Longer a Novel Affair?
Jan. 9: Golden Globe Picks and Predictions
Dec. 27: Round 4 - Boxing Week Match-ups
Dec. 9: Round 3: Golden Globe and SAG Nominations
Nov. 3: Oscar Predictions Round 2 - So Many Actors, Not Enough Spots
Nov. 1: Talking Oscars: Best Actress and Best Actor
Oct. 30: Talking Oscars: The Supporting Races
Oct. 3: Oscar Predictions Round 1 - Too Soon?
Aug. 11: Eye on Canada: The Best Foreign Language Film Race at TIFF

★ 2012 Oscar Race
Feb. 22 Write-up: Will win/should win
Feb. 9 Write-up: Memo to the Academy


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