Oscar Predictions

Will Canada score a nom (or a win) with Mommy?
Hooray for Oscars! They're the most entertaining--and convenient--way to chat about the films we love. Predictions are therefore primarily for purposes of amusement and discussion. The listed predictions do not reflect the personal choices of the author, although some element of seepage is inevitable when one says that a contender has what it takes to go all the way. Coverage of the Canadian Screen Awards may be found here.

★2014 Oscar race
Round 1: Let's Get this Party Started!
Round 2: Could Award Season Revive These Contenders?
Round 3: Christmas Comes Early?

(As of Nov. 17, 2014.)

*New or moved

Best Picture:

The Theory of Everything

Almost put: Selma*
What about: Into the Woods, Mr. Turner, Still Alice*, Whiplash

Best Director

David Fincher, Gone Girl
Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Birdman
Angelina Jolie, Unbroken
Richard Linklater, Boyhood
Morten Tyldum,  The Imitation Game

Almost put: Bennett Miller, Foxcatcher
What about: Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel; Ava DuVernay, Selma; Mike Leigh, Mr. Turner; James Marsh, The Theory of Everything; Rob Marshall, Into the Woods; Christopher Nolan, Interstellar; Jean-Marc Vallée, Wild.

Best Actor

Ben Affleck, Gone Girl
Steve Carrell, Foxcatcher
Benedict Cumberbatch,  The Imitation Game
Michael Keaton, Birdman
Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything

Almost put: Ralph Fiennes The Grand Budapest Hotel
What about: Ellar Coltrane, Boyhood; Philip Seymour Hoffman, A Most Wanted Man; Oscar Isaac, A Most Violent Year; Tommy Lee Jones, The Homesman; Bill Murray, St. Vincent; Jack O’Connell, Unbroken; David Oyelowo, Selma; Joaquin Phoenix, Inherent Vice; Timothy Spall, Mr. Turner; Channing Tatum, Foxcatcher.

Best Actress

Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything
Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl
Hilary Swank, The Homesman
Reese Witherspoon, Wild

Almost put: Emily Blunt, Into the Woods
What about: Amy Adams, Big Eyes*, Jennifer Aniston, Cake*; Marion Cotillard, The Immigrant; Marion Cotillard, Two Days, One Night; Anne Dorval, Mommy*; Mia Wasikowska, Tracks.

Best Supporting Actor:

Ethan Hawke, Boyhood *
Edward Norton, Birdman
Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
J.K. Simmons, Whiplash
Channing Tatum, Foxcatcher

Almost Put: Miyavi, Unbroken*
What about: Alec Baldwin, Still Alice; Josh Brolin, Inherent Vice; Benicio Del Toro, Inherent Vice; Robert Duvall, The Judge*, Domhnall Gleeson, Unbroken

Best Supporting Actress

Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year*
Laura Dern, Wild
Keira Knightley,  The Imitation Game
Meryl Streep, Into the Woods

Almost put: Kristen Stewart, Still Alice*
What about: Marion Bailey, Mr. Turner; Carrie Coon, Gone Girl; Anna Kendrick, Into the Woods, Emma Stone, Birdman, Tilda Swinton,  Snowpiercer, Naomi Watts, Birdman/St. Vincent.

Best Original Screenplay

Birdman – Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Armando Bo
Boyhood – Richard Linklater
Foxcatcher – E. Max Frye, Dan Futterman
The Grand Budapest Hotel– Wes Anderson
Mr. Turner – Mike Leigh

Almost put: Whiplash – Damien Chazelle
What about: Chef - Jon Favreau; A Most Violent Year, J.C. Chandor

Best Adapted Screenplay

Gone Girl - Gillian Flynn
The Imitation Game – Graham Moore
Still Alice - Richard Glatzer, Wash Westmoreland
The Theory of Everything – Anthony McCarten
Wild – Nick Hornby

Almost put: Inherent Vice – Paul Thomas Anderson
What about: Into the Woods – James Lapine; A Most Wanted Man - Andrew Bovell; Selma - Paul Webb*; Unbroken – Joel Coen, Ethan Coen, Richard Lagravenese, William Nicholson

Best Film Editing:

Almost put: Unbroken
What about: Foxcatcher, The Grand Budapest Hotel, The Imitation Game , Into the Woods, Whiplash*

Best Cinematography:

Mr. Turner

Almost put: Wild
What about: The Grand Budapest Hotel The Imitation Game, Into the Woods, Selma*,  Snowpiercer

Best Costumes:

The Imitation Game
Into the Woods 
Mr. Turner

What about: Belle, Big Eyes, Exodus, Inherent Vice, Magic in the Moonlight, Selma*

Best Production Design:

Into the Woods
Mr. Turner          

Almost put:  Snowpiercer*
What about: Big Eyes, The Hobbit 3,The Imitation Game, Inherent Vice

Best Score:

Birdman - Antonio Sanchez*
Gone Girl– Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross
The Grand Budapest Hotel– Alexandre Desplat
The Imitation Game  – Alexandre Desplat
Interstellar – Hans Zimmer and the church organ

What about: The Judge, The Lego Movie*,The Theory of Everything, Under the Skin

Sound Mixing:

Into the Woods

What about: Birdman*,  Edge of Tomorrow, Fury, Get on Up, The Hobbit 3Snowpiercer

Sound Editing:

Transformers 4

What about: The Lego MovieSnowpiercer, Unbroken

Visual Effects:

Guardians of the Galaxy

What about: Birdman*, Dawn of the Planet of the Apes, Noah Snowpiercer, Transformers 4

Best Make-up

Into the Woods

What about: Birdman*, Foxcatcher, The Grand Budapest Hotel, The Hobbit 3, Mr. Turner, Snowpiercer, X-Men: Days of Future Past

Best Song:

“Rainbows,” Into the Woods
 What is Love?,” Rio 2

What about: Tell Me If You Wanna Go Home,”Begin Again;  “Like a Fool,” Begin Again'Coming Up Roses," Begin Again; "Mercy Is," Noah; "Glory", Selma*; "Miracles", Unbroken.

Best Documentary Feature:

Finding Vivian Meier

Almost put: The Case Against 8*
What about: Tales of the Grim Sleeper, Red Army, Virunga

Best Foreign Language Film:

Force Majeure – Sweden*
Ida - Poland
Mommy – Canada
Two Days, One Night - Belgium
Wild Tails – Argentina

Almost put: Beloved Sisters - Germany*
List of submitted films on Wikipedia.
*Please see The Film Experience for the best and most comprehensive coverage on this category.

Best Animated Film:

Big Hero 6
Book of Life
The Boxtrolls
Tale of Princess Kaguya

What about: Rocks in My Pocket, How to Train Your Dragon 2
List of eligible films. 

Best Animated Short:

The Bigger Picture*
Me and My Moulton*
Also shortlisted:  Duet*, The Numberlys*, A Single Life*, Symphony No. 42 (seen it, no review)*.

Best Live Action Short:

[awaiting shortlist]

Short Documentary Short:


Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1
Kehinde Wiley: An Economy of Grace

The Lion’s Mouth Opens
One Child
Our Curse

The Reaper (La Parka)
White Earth

★ 2013 Oscar Race

Mar. 3: Oscars Recap: 'And the Best Film Wins!'
Feb. 28: Final Round: Might as Well Pick Names from a Hat!
Jan. 15:  Round 5: Final Nominations Predictions -- Time for a 'Hail Meryl'?
Jan. 14: Best Adapted Screenplay: No Longer a Novel Affair?
Jan. 9: Golden Globe Picks and Predictions
Dec. 27: Round 4 - Boxing Week Match-ups
Dec. 9: Round 3: Golden Globe and SAG Nominations
Nov. 3: Oscar Predictions Round 2 - So Many Actors, Not Enough Spots
Nov. 1: Talking Oscars: Best Actress and Best Actor
Oct. 30: Talking Oscars: The Supporting Races
Oct. 3: Oscar Predictions Round 1 - Too Soon?
Aug. 11: Eye on Canada: The Best Foreign Language Film Race at TIFF

★ 2012 Oscar Race
Feb. 22 Write-up: Will win/should win
Feb. 9 Write-up: Memo to the Academy


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