 |
| The Martian: Everyone's favourite 'comedy'. Aidan Monaghan, FOX |
This year’s Globe nominations might not do too much to narrow the picture, either, since the field barely has any legitimate comedies that are viable contenders for awards. With The Martian competing as a comedy and not as a drama, the range of overlap will be somewhat skewed. Fox presumably wants voters to consider The Martian as a comedy in order to benefit their own drama The Revenant and secure a chance for winning the comedy prize as Martian stands to compete alongside their own film Joy. The move to have The Martian compete as a comedy could backfire on Fox in the long run. The film probably stands to win the award given the weakness of the field, but they're also cheapening the movie (and devaluing comedy in general) by downplaying the seriousness of the film. Moreover, the dramatic field now has an open spot that The Martian would have occupied. By moving to drama, The Martian could help give an under the radar competitor a major boost.
Similarly, the Best Actress (Drama) and Best Supporting
Actress nominations could yield major boosts and major blows for several
actresses. Since the Globes outright rejected the campaigns to have Rooney Mara
(Carol) and Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl) compete in the
supporting category, actresses in true supporting roles such as Jane Fonda (Youth), Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs), Rachel McAdams (Spotlight) or Kristen Stewart (Clouds of Sils Maria) will benefit from
the wiggle room and from having actresses with larger, showier roles bumped out
of contention. On the other hand, the lead category offers the chance for
either Mara or Vikander to bump out a presumed contender like, say, Carey
Mulligan (Suffragette) or Helen
Mirren (Woman in Gold) and bump
themselves up to the lead. The lead designation for Mara, finally, is
especially important since it inevitable favours either her or her Carol co-star Cate Blanchett. The Globes
voters must choose one actress or the other,
rather than vote for two lead roles in two different categories. (On the other hand,
both actresses were nominated as a lead at the Independent Spirit awards.)
Finally, Thursday’s nomination announcement offers the first
major chance to see how the three remaining studio films perform in terms of
awards potential. Embargoes on coverage for The
Revenant, Joy, and The Hateful are containing buzz and managing expectations, and the nominations will be the first real indicator for
how the films sit with one particular group that’s shown some favour to these
filmmakers. Both Joy’s David O.
Russell and Hateful Eight’s Quentin
Tarantino have performed especially well with the Globes in the past.
However, initial reviews for The Revenant and Joy
started trickling out this week and neither seems to be the solid contender one
might have presumed them to be sight unseen. Joy looks to be Russell’s least favourably reviewed film yet,
although word for Jennifer Lawrence is especially strong, but Joy benefits from a weak comedy field.
Expect the film to show up in some capacity since only a handful of the
eighty-odd Globe voters need to love it. The
Revenant, meanwhile, has reviews that are all over the map. Expect a
nomination for Leonardo DiCaprio, but otherwise, it seems to be more likely to
make an impression with groups that acknowledge the arts and crafts of a film
since the general consensus seems to be that the wow factor of the film lives
in its technical accomplishments and in DiCaprio’s performance. Hateful Eight, finally, is still a wild
card for speculation, aside from a Best Screenplay win and a Best Supporting
Actress prize for Jennifer Jason Leigh from the National Board of Review.
Golden Globe Predictions:
(Predictions include an alternate since the Globes sometimes
offer ties/more than five nominees.)
Best Film - Drama
Alt: The Hateful Eight
Best Film – Comedy
The Big Short
Joy
Best Director
Tom Hooper, The Danish
Girl
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
Ridley Scott, The
Martian
Steven Spielberg, Bridge
of Spies
Alt: Quentin Tarantino, The
Hateful Eight
Best Actor – Drama
Johnny Depp, Black
Mass
Leonardo DiCaprio, The
Revenant
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Jake Gyllenhaal, Southpaw
Eddie Redmayne, The
Danish Girl
Alt: Tom Hanks, Bridge of
Spies
Best Actress – Drama
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room
Helen Mirren, Woman in Gold
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
Alicia Vikander, The
Danish Girl
Alt: Carey Mulligan, Suffragette
Best Actor – Comedy
Steve Carell, The Big
Short
Matt Damon, The
Martian
Al Pacino, Danny
Collins
Joaquin Phoenix, IrrationalMan
Ben Stiller, While
We’re Young
Best Actress – Comedy
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Amy Schumer, Trainwreck
Maggie Smith, The Lady
in the Van
Meryl Streep, Ricki and the Flash
Lily Tomlin, Grandma
Alt: Greta Gerwig, Mistress
America, Blythe Danner, I’ll See You
in My Dreams
Best Supporting Actor
Benicio Del Toro, Sicario
Michael Keaton, Spotlight
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge
of Spies
Sylvester Stallone, Creed
Alt: Jacob Tremblay, Room
Best Supporting Actress
Joan Allen, Room
Jane Fonda, Youth
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
Kate Winslet, Steve
Jobs
Alt: Kristen Stewart, Clouds
of Sils Maria
Best Screenplay
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Room
Spotlight
Steve Jobs
Alt: The Martian
Best Score
Brooklyn
Bridge of Spies
Carol
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Song
“Cold One” – Ricki and
the Flash
“Love Me Like You Do” – Fifty
Shades of Grey
“Phenomenal” – Southpaw
“See You Again” – Furious
7
“Writings on the Wall” – Spectre
Best Foreign Language Film
The Brand New Testament - Belgium
Mustang - France
Phoenix – Germany
The Second Mother- Brazil
Son of Saul –
Hungary
Best Animated Film
Anomalisa
Home
Inside Out
The Peanuts Movie
Shaun the Sheep
What are your Golden Globe predictions?
Plus: Updated Oscar Predictions!
*New or moved
Shortlist:
Boy Team 12
Chau, Beyond the Lines
Claude Lanzmann:Spectres of Shoah
50 Feet from Syria
Last Day of Freedom
Mineretia
My Enemy, My Brother
Starting Point
The Testimony
Best Picture:
The Martian
The Revenant*
The Revenant*
Almost put: Inside Out
Best Director:
John Crowley, Brooklyn
Tom Hooper, The Danish Girl
Tom Hooper, The Danish Girl
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
Ridley Scott, The Martian
Steven Spielberg, Bridge of Spies
Almost put: Danny Boyle, Steve Jobs
What about: Lenny Abrahamson (Room), George Miller (Mad
Max: Fury Road), David O.
Russell, (Joy), Paolo Sorrentino, Youth*, Quentin Tarantino (The
Hateful Eight), Denis Villeneuve (Sicario)
Best Actor:
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant*
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Jake Gyllenhaal, Southpaw
Tom Hanks, Bridge of Spies
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
Almost put: Johnny Depp, Black
Mass
What about: Michael Caine, Youth*, John Cusack (Love
& Mercy), Matt Damon (The Martian),
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant), Ian
McKellen (Mr. Holmes)
Best Actress:
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
What about: Cate Blanchett (Truth), Emily Blunt (Sicario), Marion Cotillard (Macbeth), Rooney Mara (Carol), Carey Mulligan (Far from the Madding Crowd), Nina Hoss (Phoenix), Helen Mirren (Woman in Gold), Meryl Streep (Ricki and the Flash), Charlie Theron (Mad Max: Fury Road), Lily Tomlin (Grandma)
Best Supporting Actor:
Benicio Del Toro, Sicario
Michael Keaton, Spotlight
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Almost put: Jacob Tremblay, Room*
What about: Emory Cohen (Brooklyn),
Bradley Cooper (Joy), Paul Dano (Love & Mercy), Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation), Domhnall Gleeson (Brooklyn), Tom Hardy (The Revenant), Harvey
Keitel (Youth)*
Best Supporting Actress:
Joan Allen, Room
Jane Fonda, Youth
Rooney Mara, Carol
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
Almost put: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl (But I think they'll recognize her as a lead)
Almost put: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl (But I think they'll recognize her as a lead)
What about: Elizabeth Banks (Love & Mercy), Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight)*, Kristen Stewart (Clouds of Sils Maria), Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl, Julie Walters (Brooklyn), Rachel Weisz (Youth)
Best Original Screenplay:
The Hateful Eight
– Quentin Tarantino
Joy - David O.
Russell and Annie Mumolo
Youth– Paolo
Sorrentino
What about: Clouds of
Sils Maria, Inside Out, Mistress
America, Sicario, Straight Outta Compton
Best Adapted Screenplay:
Bridge of Spies –
Mark Harmon; Joel Coen and Ethan Coen
Room– Emma
Donoghue
Steve Jobs – Aaron
Sorkin
Almost put: The Danish Girl –
Lucinda Coxon*
What about: Anomalisa*, The Martian, Me and Earl
and the Dying Girl, The Revenant,
Truth
Best Documentary Feature:
Almost put: What Happened, Miss Simone?*
Also shortlisted: 31/2 Bullets, 10 Minutes, Going
Clear, Heart of a Dog*, He Named Me Malala*, The Hunting Ground*, Meru*, We Come As Friends*, Where to Invade Next; Winter on Fire
Best Foreign Language Film:
The Clan -
Argentina
The Second Mother – Brazil
Son of Saul –
Hungary
Theeb - Jordan
Theeb - Jordan
A War – Denmark
Other submissions reviewed: The Assassin (Taiwan), Baby(a)lone (Luxembourg), Bota (Albania) Felix and Meira (Canada), The Fencer (Finland), Ixcanul (Guatemala), Koza (Slovakia), Labyrinth of Lies (Germany), NN (Peru), Our Everyday Life (Bosnia and Herzegovina), A Pigeon Sat on a Branch Reflecting On Existence (Sweden), The Wanted 18 (Palestine), The Wave (Norway)
Best Animated Film:
Anomalisa
The Boy and the World
Inside Out
Shaun the Sheep
When Marnie Was There
What about: The Good Dinosaur The Peanuts Movie, Home
The Boy and the World
Inside Out
Shaun the Sheep
When Marnie Was There
What about: The Good Dinosaur The Peanuts Movie, Home
Best Cinematography:
Almost put: The Danish Girl*
Best Film Editing:
Best Costumes:
Carol
The Hateful Eight
What about? Cinderella,
Crimson Peak, Far from the Madding Crowd,
Love & Macbeth, . Mercy, The Revenant, Suffragette
Best Production Design:
The Hateful Eight
What about: Carol,
Crimson Peak, Macbeth*, Mad Max: Fury Road, Son of Saul*, The Walk
Best Original Score:
What about: Ex Machina, Far from the Madding Crowd, Inside Out, Room, Mad Max: Fury Road,
Steve Jobs
Steve Jobs
Best Original Song:
Best Visual Effects:
In the Heart of the
Sea
Star Wars: The Force
Awakens
What about: The Walk
Best Make-Up:
The Revenant*
What about: Black Mass,
Crimson Peak, In the Heart of
the Sea, Pan
Best Animated Short
Shortlist:
Bear Story
Carface (Autos Portraits)
If I Was God…
Love in the Time of March Madness
My Home
An Object at Rest
Prologue
Sanjay’s Super Team
We Can’t Live Without Cosmos
World of Tomorrow
Carface (Autos Portraits)
If I Was God…
Love in the Time of March Madness
My Home
An Object at Rest
Prologue
Sanjay’s Super Team
We Can’t Live Without Cosmos
World of Tomorrow
Best Live Action Short
Awaiting shortlist
Best Documentary Short
Boy Team 12
Chau, Beyond the Lines
Claude Lanzmann:Spectres of Shoah
50 Feet from Syria
Last Day of Freedom
Mineretia
My Enemy, My Brother
Starting Point
The Testimony
