Oscar Predictions: Round 2 - Golden Globe Predix

A Star is Born- if there was ever a "Globes movie", this is it!

I completely forgot that the Golden Globe nominations come out this week so here’s a quick crack at them along with updated Oscar predictions. I’ve had a chance to see nearly all the contenders so far with Vice, Mary Poppins Returns, and Ben is Back rounding out screenings before the end of the week and the upcoming TFCA vote, so I’ve been a bit busy…stay tuned for reviews of The Favourite, Mary Queen of Scots, On the Basis of Sex, Stan & Ollie, Vox Lux and more!

Golden Globe predictions - nominations announced Thursday morning!

Best Picture – Drama

BlacKkKlansman

Can You Ever Forgive Me?

First Man

If Beale Street Could Talk

A Star is Born

What about: Widows

***Note: Roma is not eligible in this category due to foreign language film restrictions, but Alfonso Cuarón is eligible for Best Director.

Best Picture – Comedy/Musical

Crazy Rich Asians

The Favourite

Green Book

Mary Poppins Returns

Vice

What about: Private Life, Eighth Grade

Best Director

Damien Chazelle – First Man

Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born

Alfonso Cuaron – Roma

Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite

Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman

What about: Peter Farrelly – Green Book

Best Actress – Drama

Glenn Close – The Wife

Viola Davis - Widows

Lady Gaga – A Star is Born

Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Saoirse Ronan –Mary Queen of Scots

What about: Felicity Jones, On the Basis of Sex; Nicole Kidman, Destroyer; Rosamund Pike, A Private War

Best Actor – Drama

Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born

Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate

Ryan Gosling – First Man

Ethan Hawke – First Reformed

Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody

What about: John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman

Best Actress – Comedy/Musical

Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns

Olivia Colman – The Favourite

Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade

Kathryn Hahn – Private Life

Charlize Theron – Tully

What about: Constance Wu, Crazy Rich Asians; Regina Hall, Support the Girls

Best Actor – Comedy/Musical

Christian Bale - Vice

Viggo Mortensen – Green Book

Lin-Manuel Miranda – Mary Poppins Returns

Robert Redford – The Old Man and the Gun

Lakeith Stanfield – Sorry to Bother You

What about: John C. Reilly and/Steve Coogan, Stan & Ollie; Ryan Reynolds, Deadpool 2;

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams, Vice

Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased

Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

Emma Stone, The Favourite

Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

What about: Michelle Yeoh, Crazy Rich Asians

Best Supporting Actor:

Mahershala Ali, Green Book

Timothée Chalamet, Beautiful Boy

Russell Crowe, Boy Erased

Sam Elliot, A Star is Born

Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

What about: Sam Rockwell, Vice

Best Screenplay:

Can You Ever Forgive Me?

The Favourite

Green Book

If Beale Street Could Talk

Vice

What about: A Star is Born, Widows, BlacKkKlansman

Best Animated Film:

The Incredibles 2

Isle of Dogs

Ralph Breaks the Internet

Small Foot

Spider-Man: Into the Spiderverse

Best Foreign Film:

Capernaum

Cold War

The Guilty

Roma

Woman at War

Eligible films. (Rooting for Denys Arcand!)

Best Score:

Black Panther

First Man

If Beale Street Could Talk

Mary Queen of Scots

Roma

Best Song:

“All the Stars” – Black Panther

“Ashes” – Deadpool 2

“Here Comes the Change” – On the Basis of Sex

“Revelation” – Boy Erased

“Shallow” – A Star is Born

UPDATES OSCAR PREDICTIONS

* New or moved

Best Picture

Black Panther

BlackKkKlansman

The Favourite

First Man

Green Book

If Beale Street Could Talk

Roma

A Star is Born
Vice*

What about: Can You Ever Forgive Me?, Crazy Rich Asians,* Widows

Falling off: Beautiful Boy, Boy Erased, The Frontrunner, On the Basis of Sex, 

Best Director

Damien Chazelle, First Man

Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born

Alfonso Cuarón, Roma

Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite

Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman

What about: Ryan Coogler, Black Panther;  Peter Farrelly, Green Book; Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk; Adam McKay, Vice; Steve McQueen, Widows

Best Actor

Christian Bale, Vice*
Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born

Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate

Ethan Hawke, First Reformed

Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

What about: Clint Eastwood, The Mule; Ryan Gosling, First Man*; Lucas Hedges, Boy Erased; Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody; Robert Redford, The Old Man and the Gun

Best Actress

Glenn Close, The Wife

Olivia Colman, The Favourite

Nicole Kidman, Destroyer

Lady Gaga, A Star is Born

Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

What about: Yalitza Aparicio, Roma; Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns; Viola Davis, Widows; Kathryn Hahn, Private Life; Felicity Jones, On the Basis of Sex; Kiki Layne, If Beale Street Could Talk; Rosamund Pike, A Private War; Julia Roberts, Ben is Back; Saoirse Ronan, Mary Queen of Scots; Emma Stone, The Favourite

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali, Green Book

Timothée Chalamet, Beautiful Boy

Adam Driver, BlackKkKlansman

Sam Elliot, A Star is Born

Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

What about: Steve Carell, Vice*; Bradley Cooper, The Mule; Russell Crowe, Boy Erased; Joel Edgerton, Boy Erased; Robert Forster, What They Had; Nicholas Hoult, The Favourite; Topher Grace, BlackKklansman; Sam Rockwell, Vice

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams, Vice*

Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased

Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone, The Favourite*

Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

What about: Olivia Colman, The Favourite; Elizabeth Debicki, Widows; Claire Foy, First Man; Natalie Portman, Vox Lux*;  Margot Robbie, Mary Queen of Scots; Marina de Tavira, Roma; Michelle Yeoh, Widows

Best Adapted Screenplay

BlacKkKlansman

Can You Ever Forgive Me?

If Beale Street Could Talk

A Star is Born
Widows*

What about: Beautiful Boy; Boy Erased*, Crazy Rich Asians; First Man; Leave No Trace; Mary, Queen of Scots  

Best Original Screenplay

The Favourite

First Reformed

Green Book

Roma

Vice

What about: Disobedience, Isle of Dogs, Private Life; Sorry to Bother You

Best Score

Black Panther

First Man

If Beale Street Could Talk

Isle of Dogs

Roma

What about: Suspiria, Disobedience, The Favourite,* A Star is Born

Best Original Song
"Ashes" - Deadpool 2
"All the Stars" - Black Panther
"I'll Fight" - RBG
"Requiem for a Private War" (A Private War)*
"Shallow" - A Star is Born

What about: "Hearts Beat Loud" (Hearts Beat Loud), "Suspirium" (Suspiria), "Revelation" (Boy Erased), "Gravity" (Free Solo), "I'll Be the Change" (On the Basis of Sex), "Wrapped Up" (Vox Lux)*

Best Film Editing

Black Panther

BlacKkKlansman

First Man

Roma

A Star is Born

What about: Avengers: Infinity War, Green Book, A Private War, Widows, Vox Lux*, If Beale Street Could Talk, American Animals

Best Cinematography

Cold War

First Man

If Beale Street Could Talk

Roma

A Star is Born

What about: A Private War*, Suspiria, At Eternity's Gate*, The Favourite*

Best Costumes

Black Panther

Colette

The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns*

Mary Queen of Scots

What about: BlacKkKlansman*, Bohemian Rhapsody*, If Beale Street Could Talk, Crazy Rich Asians, Suspiria, Bohemian Rhapsody, On the Basis of Sex

Best Make-up and Hair
Black Panther
The Favourite
Mary, Queen of Scots

What about: Suspiria, Mary Poppins Returns, Bohemian Rhapsody, Colette

Best Production Design
Black Panther
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary, Queen of Scots
Roma

What about: Suspiria, Crazy Rich Asians, Solo, Colette

Best Documentary

Free Solo

Minding the Gap

Of Fathers and Sons

RBG

Won’t You Be My Neighbour?

What about: The King, Maria By Callas, McQueen, On Her Shoulders, Science Fair, Three Identical Strangers, Hale County This Morning, This Evening*

Best Foreign Language Film

Colombia - Birds of Passage*
Japan - Shoplifters*
Lebanon – Capernaum
Mexico – Roma

Poland – Cold War

Full list of submissions | ranked list of submissions seen