12/04/2018

Oscar Predictions: Round 2 - Golden Globe Predix

A Star is Born- if there was ever a "Globes movie", this is it!
I completely forgot that the Golden Globe nominations come out this week so here’s a quick crack at them along with updated Oscar predictions. I’ve had a chance to see nearly all the contenders so far with Vice, Mary Poppins Returns, and Ben is Back rounding out screenings before the end of the week and the upcoming TFCA vote, so I’ve been a bit busy…stay tuned for reviews of The Favourite, Mary Queen of Scots, On the Basis of Sex, Stan & Ollie, Vox Lux and more!

Golden Globe predictions - nominations announced Thursday morning!

Best Picture – Drama
BlacKkKlansman
If Beale Street Could Talk

What about: Widows
***Note: Roma is not eligible in this category due to foreign language film restrictions, but Alfonso Cuarón is eligible for Best Director.

Best Picture – Comedy/Musical
Crazy Rich Asians
The Favourite
Green Book
Mary Poppins Returns
Vice

What about: Private Life, Eighth Grade

Best Director
Damien Chazelle – First Man
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman

What about: Peter Farrelly – Green Book

Best Actress – Drama
Glenn Close – The Wife
Viola Davis - Widows
Lady Gaga – A Star is Born
Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Saoirse Ronan Mary Queen of Scots

What about: Felicity Jones, On the Basis of Sex; Nicole Kidman, Destroyer; Rosamund Pike, A Private War

Best Actor – Drama
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate
Ryan Gosling – First Man
Ethan Hawke – First Reformed
Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody

What about: John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman

Best Actress – Comedy/Musical
Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns
Olivia Colman – The Favourite
Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade
Kathryn Hahn – Private Life
Charlize Theron – Tully

What about: Constance Wu, Crazy Rich Asians; Regina Hall, Support the Girls

Best Actor – Comedy/Musical
Christian Bale - Vice
Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
Lin-Manuel Miranda – Mary Poppins Returns
Robert Redford – The Old Man and the Gun
Lakeith Stanfield – Sorry to Bother You

What about: John C. Reilly and/Steve Coogan, Stan & Ollie; Ryan Reynolds, Deadpool 2;

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, Vice
Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

What about: Michelle Yeoh, Crazy Rich Asians

Best Supporting Actor:
Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Timothée Chalamet, Beautiful Boy
Russell Crowe, Boy Erased
Sam Elliot, A Star is Born
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

What about: Sam Rockwell, Vice

Best Screenplay:
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
The Favourite
Green Book
If Beale Street Could Talk
Vice

What about: A Star is Born, Widows, BlacKkKlansman

Best Animated Film:
The Incredibles 2
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Small Foot
Spider-Man: Into the Spiderverse

Best Foreign Film:
Cold War
The Guilty
Roma
Woman at War

Eligible films. (Rooting for Denys Arcand!)


Best Score:
Black Panther
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
Mary Queen of Scots
Roma

Best Song:
“All the Stars” – Black Panther
“Ashes” – Deadpool 2
“Here Comes the Change” – On the Basis of Sex
“Revelation” – Boy Erased
“Shallow” – A Star is Born


UPDATES OSCAR PREDICTIONS


* New or moved

Best Picture
Black Panther
BlackKkKlansman
The Favourite
Green Book
If Beale Street Could Talk

What about: Can You Ever Forgive Me?, Crazy Rich Asians,* Widows

Falling off: Beautiful BoyBoy ErasedThe Frontrunner, On the Basis of Sex

Best Director
Damien Chazelle, First Man
Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman

What about: Ryan Coogler, Black Panther;  Peter Farrelly, Green Book; Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk; Adam McKay, Vice; Steve McQueen, Widows

Best Actor
Christian Bale, Vice*
Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate
Ethan Hawke, First Reformed
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

What about: Clint Eastwood, The Mule; Ryan Gosling, First Man*; Lucas Hedges, Boy Erased; Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody; Robert Redford, The Old Man and the Gun

Best Actress
Glenn Close, The Wife
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Nicole Kidman, Destroyer
Lady Gaga, A Star is Born
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

What about: Yalitza Aparicio, Roma; Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns; Viola Davis, Widows; Kathryn Hahn, Private Life; Felicity Jones, On the Basis of Sex; Kiki Layne, If Beale Street Could Talk; Rosamund Pike, A Private War; Julia Roberts, Ben is Back; Saoirse Ronan, Mary Queen of Scots; Emma Stone, The Favourite

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Timothée Chalamet, Beautiful Boy
Adam Driver, BlackKkKlansman
Sam Elliot, A Star is Born
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

What about: Steve Carell, Vice*; Bradley Cooper, The Mule; Russell Crowe, Boy Erased; Joel Edgerton, Boy Erased; Robert Forster, What They Had; Nicholas Hoult, The Favourite; Topher Grace, BlackKklansman; Sam Rockwell, Vice

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, Vice*
Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone, The Favourite*
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

What about: Olivia Colman, The Favourite; Elizabeth Debicki, Widows; Claire Foy, First Man; Natalie Portman, Vox Lux*;  Margot Robbie, Mary Queen of Scots; Marina de Tavira, Roma; Michelle Yeoh, Widows

Best Adapted Screenplay
BlacKkKlansman
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star is Born
Widows*

What about: Beautiful Boy; Boy Erased*, Crazy Rich AsiansFirst ManLeave No TraceMary, Queen of Scots  

Best Original Screenplay
The Favourite
First Reformed
Green Book
Roma
Vice

What about: Disobedience, Isle of DogsPrivate LifeSorry to Bother You

Best Score
Black Panther
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
Roma

What about: SuspiriaDisobedience, The Favourite,* A Star is Born

Best Original Song
"Ashes" - Deadpool 2
"All the Stars" - Black Panther
"I'll Fight" - RBG
"Requiem for a Private War" (A Private War)*
"Shallow" - A Star is Born

What about: "Hearts Beat Loud" (Hearts Beat Loud), "Suspirium" (Suspiria), "Revelation" (Boy Erased), "Gravity" (Free Solo), "I'll Be the Change" (On the Basis of Sex), "Wrapped Up" (Vox Lux)*

Best Film Editing
Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
First Man
Roma
A Star is Born

What about: Avengers: Infinity War, Green Book, A Private WarWidows, Vox Lux*, If Beale Street Could Talk, American Animals

Best Cinematography
Cold War
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
Roma
A Star is Born

What about: A Private War*, Suspiria, At Eternity's Gate*, The Favourite*

Best Costumes
Black Panther
Colette
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns*
Mary Queen of Scots

What about: BlacKkKlansman*, Bohemian Rhapsody*, If Beale Street Could Talk, Crazy Rich Asians, Suspiria, Bohemian Rhapsody, On the Basis of Sex

Best Make-up and Hair
Black Panther
The Favourite
Mary, Queen of Scots

What about: Suspiria, Mary Poppins Returns, Bohemian Rhapsody, Colette

Best Production Design
Black Panther
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary, Queen of Scots
Roma

What about: SuspiriaCrazy Rich Asians, Solo, Colette

Best Documentary
Of Fathers and Sons

What about: The KingMaria By CallasMcQueenOn Her Shoulders, Science Fair, Three Identical Strangers, Hale County This Morning, This Evening*

Best Foreign Language Film
Colombia - Birds of Passage*
Japan - Shoplifters*
Lebanon – Capernaum
Mexico – Roma
Poland – Cold War