Hooray for Oscars! They're the most entertaining--and convenient--way to chat about the films we love. Predictions are therefore primarily for purposes of amusement and discussion. The listed predictions are purely from a fan's perspective and do not reflect the personal choices of the author, although some element of endorsement is inevitable when one says that a contender has what it takes to go all the way. Coverage of the Canadian Screen Awards may be found here.

* New or moved

Best Picture
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
Green Book

What about: First Man, Can You Ever Forgive Me?, Crazy Rich Asians, Cold War* 

Best Director
Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Peter Farrelly, Green Book
Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman

What about: Ryan Coogler, Black Panther; Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk; Adam McKay, Vice; Damien Chazelle, First Man; Pawel Pawlikowski, Cold War*

Best Actor
Christian Bale, Vice
Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
Ethan Hawke, First Reformed
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

What about: Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate, Lucas Hedges, Boy Erased; John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman*

Best Actress
Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns*
Glenn Close, The Wife
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Lady Gaga, A Star is Born
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

What about: Yalitza Aparicio, Roma; Viola Davis, Widows; Nicole Kidman, Destroyer*;  Rosamund Pike, A Private War; Julia Roberts, Ben is Back

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Timothée Chalamet, Beautiful Boy
Adam Driver, BlackKkKlansman
Sam Elliot, A Star is Born
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

What about: Steve Carell, Vice; Michael B. Jordan, Black Panther*; Sam Rockwell, Vice

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, Vice
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Margot Robbie, Mary Queen of Scots*
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

What about: Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased*,Claire Foy, First Man*; Marina de Tavira, Roma; Michelle Yeoh, Widows

Best Adapted Screenplay
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
If Beale Street Could Talk
Leave No Trace*
A Star is Born

What about: Crazy Rich AsiansFirst ManWidows*

Best Original Screenplay
The Favourite
First Reformed
Green Book

What about: Eighth Grade, Isle of DogsPrivate LifeSorry to Bother You

Best Score
Black Panther
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk

Also shortlisted: AnnihilationAvengers: Infinity War, The Ballad of Buster Scruggs, Crazy Rich AsiansThe Death of StalinFantastic Beasts: The Crimes of GrindewaldMary Poppins ReturnsA Quiet Place, Ready Player OneVice

Best Original Song

"All the Stars" - Black Panther
"Girl in the Movies" - Dumplin'
"I'll Fight" - RBG
"Revelation" - Boy Erased
"Shallow" - A Star is Born

Also shortlisted: "Suspirium" (Suspiria),  "When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings" (The Ballad of Buster Scruggs), "Treasure" (Beautiful Boy), "We Won't Move" (The Hate You Give), "The Place Where Lost Things Go" (Mary Poppins Returns), "Trip a Little Light Fantastic" (Mary Poppins Returns) "Keep Reachin'" (Quincy), "A Place Called Slaughter Race" (Ralph Breaks the Internet), "OYAHYTT" (Sorry to Bother You), "The Big Unknown" (Widows)

Best Film Editing
Black Panther
First Man
A Star is Born

What about: Avengers: Infinity War, The Favourite, Green Book, A Private WarWidows, If Beale Street Could Talk,  

Best Cinematography
Cold War
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star is Born

What about: A Private WarSuspiria, At Eternity's Gate, The Favourite

Best Costumes
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots

What about: The Ballad of Buster Scruggs, Colette, BlacKkKlansman, If Beale Street Could Talk, Crazy Rich Asians, Suspiria,  

Best Make-up and Hair
Black Panther
Mary Queen of Scots

Also shortlisted: Bohemian RhapsodyBorder, Stan & OllieSuspiria 

Best Production Design
Black Panther
The Favourite
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots

What about: RomaSuspiriaCrazy Rich Asians, Solo, Colette

Best Visual Effects
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
Ready Player One

Also shortlisted: Ant-Man and the WaspChristopher RobinJurassic World: Fallen KingdomSolo: A Star Wars StoryWelcome to Marwen

Best Documentary
Minding the Gap
Of Fathers and Sons

Also shortlisted: Charm CityCommunionCrime + PunishmentDark MoneyThe Distant Barking of DogsHale County This Morning, This Evening, On Her Shoulders, ShirkersThe Silence of Others, Three Identical Strangers, 

Best Foreign Language Film
Colombia - Birds of Passage
Japan - Shoplifters
Lebanon – Capernaum
Mexico – Roma
Poland – Cold War

Also shortlisted: Ayka (Kazakhstan), Burning (South Korea), The Guilty (Denmark), Never Look Away (Germany)

Full list of submissions | ranked list of submissions seen

How do you think Oscar will vote?

2017 Race
★ Round 1: Show Me a Hero
★ Round 2: Golden Globes and SAG
★ Round 3: Five Categories with Women to Watch
★ Round 4: Final Picks: Will Win/Should Win
★ Recap: Safe, but Sound

2016 Race
★ Round 1: Once More unto the breach
★ Round 2: Golden Globe and SAG Edition
★ Round 3: Another Day of Sun

★2015 Race

Round 1: Where's the Story, Oscar Glory? (Oct. 29)
Round 2: Canucks in Contention: Could 2015 Be Canada's Biggest Year Yet? (Nov. 20)
Round 3: Golden Globes Predictions and Oscar Update (Dec. 8) 
Round 4/5: Hungry Films, but who gets the noms? (Jan. 13)
Round 6: Final Predictions - 'Fasten Your Seatbelts. It's Going to Be a Bumpy Night!'
Recap: Spotlight Wins: Oscar Season End on Much-Needed High Note

★2014 Oscar race
Round 1: Let's Get this Party Started!
Round 2: Could Award Season Revive These Contenders?